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《我们徘徊在未来的十字路口...》  

2012-03-06 11:26:53|  分类: 國際車壇動態 |  标签: |举报 |字号 订阅

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At the Intersection of the Future… - ar.long - 三咪重型機車貿易organization

 

                               At the Intersection of the Future…

    Despite the fact that the business side of motorcycling is run by a small close-nit group of curmudgeons, Neanderthals, and Luddites, the world outside of motorcycling continues to press on without us. And while various parts of the motorcycle industry are busy trying to figure out how to adapt to this whole new “internet” technology fad thing (it has only been commercialized for over two decades now guys), the same group of people are busy trying to maintain the same business models and practices that came from the post-World War II economy. In other words, when it comes to technology and the motorcycle industry, we are all pretty much fucked.

    I know this whole online journalism thing puts me at the far-end of the progressive spectrum in the motorcycle industry, but the reality is when it comes to new technology adoption there is so much going on outside of the four corners of motorcycling’s world, it makes running a website that talks about motorcycles on a daily basis seem so 2011. Since I like to draw analogies from outside of the motorcycle industry to show my points, take for example Yahoo search. At one point the behemuth-of-the-internet, Yahoo is slowly dying a death of one thousand cuts in its commodity-based business, while competitor Google continues to thrive and grow well beyond its initial critical app of contextual search, and seems forever entrenched in its market position.

    Innovate or stagnate, evolve or die, adapt or react…I can keep spitting out buzzword comparisons, but the takeaway comes back to the fact that industries, like companies, need to keep a constant weather on the horizon, lest the waters around them begin to storm and swell. Whether we want to admit it or not, transportation is changing all around us. Smaller cars, EVs, and even automated vehicles are already a reality, and are gaining steam. For example, if you are an astute driver of the roads surrounding San Francisco, you likely have already seen Google’s driverless car prowling the streets in an understated not-so-futuristic manner.

    The idea of cars driving themselves is certain to be a scary proposition for many, though before someone leaves a Skynet comment (or worse) at the bottom of this post, consider the fact that we already entrust computers with far more important things in our day-to-day lives. Since no one reads online publications, you will read in this weekend’s Finance & Business section of the Sunday paper about how millions of dollars were lost in the stock market because of an automated trading system for gold, silver, and bonds was accidentally tripped, causing a massive selling of those index investments.

    While the business of multi-billion dollar transactions are fairly complex mathematically, the reality is, driving a car, flying a plane, and even riding a motorcycle are trivial pursuits —  they are so easy in fact, even a human can do them. So, do not be shocked then when I tell you the future of driving is automated vehicles, and their time is nearly upon us.

 

    http://player.vimeo.com/video/37751380?title=0&byline=0&portrait=0

 

    I submit for your examination a model of the intersection of the future. In a world where cars are in constant contact with each other and ever vigilantly reading the roadways for changes, dangers, and efficiencies, traffic lights will cease to exist…or so say the scientists behind such technologies. While the model above surely looks like absolute chaos, it is the product of a highly-efficient algorithm that takes into account the destinations of all the cars coming to the intersection, and then times and routes them in the most appropriate manner. For futurists, this looks like a symphony, but for motorcyclists it likely looks terrifying.

    The question then is which of the following outcomes scares you more as a motorcyclist: giving up the control of riding your motorcycle through city streets, or riding the only vehicle that isn’t tied into the stream of data from the multi-ton vehicles that surround it. This is a trick question of course, because what should really scare you is the fact that the organizations that should be actively involved in developing these systems are the same ones that are still busy spending most of their time arguing about whether or not we should be wearing helmets when we ride motorcycles. I guarantee their are no water-cooler talks at the MIC or AMA about the future of transportation at this level. Like I said before, we are all pretty much fucked.

 

    http://www.youtube.com/embed/lwx2ce_AyOE?wmode=transparent&fs=1&hl=en&modestbranding=1&loop=0&iv_load_policy=3&showsearch=0&rel=1&theme=dark&hd=1

 

Source: The Atlantic Cities


 

 

《我们徘徊在未来的十字路口...》 - ar.long - 三咪重型機車貿易organization
 

 

 

 

google 提供的翻译:   

                                   在未来的十字路口......

       尽管事实上,小爱争吵,尼安德特人,勒德分子近NIT组运行的摩托车业务方面,外部世界的摩托车,继续按不上。和而摩托车行业的各个部分是忙着试图找出如何去适应这个全新的“互联网”技术,时尚的东西(超过二十年现在伙计们只被商业化),同组的人都忙于保持相同的商业模式和做法,从第二次世界大战后的经济。换句话说,当涉及到技术和摩托车行业,我们干得都非常他妈的漂亮。

       我知道这整个网上新闻的事了,在摩托车行业逐步频谱远年底我,但现实时,它涉及到采用新技术这么多去四角摩托车的世界之外,它使左右摩托车每天的会谈似乎使2011网站运行。因为我喜欢画画摩托车行业以外的比喻来表明我的观点,例如雅虎的搜索。互联网behemuth在一个点上,雅虎正在慢慢地死去死亡一万削减其商品为基础的业务,而竞争对手谷歌继续茁壮成长,超出了其最初的关键的应用程序上下文搜索,似乎永远盘踞在其市场地位。

       创新或停滞不前,发展或死亡,适应或反应...我可以不断吐出流行语比较,但外卖回来的事实,行业,公司一样,需要保持恒定的天气在地平线上,以免他们周围的水域开始风暴和膨胀。我们是否要承认与否,交通正在改变我们周围。小型车,电动车,甚至自动车已经成为现实,并获得蒸汽。例如,如果你是一个精明的司机旧金山周边的道路,你可能已经看到了谷歌的无人驾驶汽车潜行低调不那么未来的方式在街头。

       驾驶自己的汽车的想法是可以肯定的是一个可怕的许多命题,虽然之前有人离开天网评论在这个岗位的底部(或更糟),考虑在我们的日常生活,事实上,我们已经委托具有更为重要的东西电脑到日常生活。由于没有人读的在线出版物,阅读在本周末的金融及商业星期天的报纸一节有关如何百万美元分别在股市失去,因为1金,银的自动交易系统和债券被意外摔倒,造成这些指数投资的大规模销售。

       虽然多亿美元的交易业务是相当复杂的数学,现实是,驾驶汽车,驾驶飞机,甚至骑摩托车的是琐碎的追求 - 他们是那么容易,事实上,即使一个人可以做。所以,不要感到震惊,然后当我告诉你驾驶的未来是自动化车辆,和自己的时间后,我们近。

      我提交未来的交集模型,为您的考试。在一个世界里,汽车在不断接触与对方的变化,危险和效率不断提高警觉,阅读的道路,交通灯将不再存在......所以说,这种技术背后的科学家。虽然上述模型一定看起来像绝对的混乱,这是一个高效的算法,考虑到所有的车来到路口,然后时间和路线,他们在最合适的方式的目的地的产品。对于未来学家,这看起来像一首交响乐,但为电单车,它可能看起来可怕。

       接下来的问题是作为一个司机以下结果把您给吓走了,如你放弃骑摩托车通过城市街道,或骑自行车的唯一车辆的控制,不绑成多吨级的车辆,从数据流围绕着它。这是一个棘手的问题,当然,因为真正应该吓唬你什么是事实,应积极参与开发这些系统的组织还在忙着开支的大部分时间,我们是否应该的争论相同的当我们骑摩托车戴头盔。我保证,他们是在MIC或AMA没有水冷却器运输的未来在这个级别的会谈。就像我以前说过,我们干得都非常他妈的漂亮。

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